Hungary’s right-wing nationalist Prime Minister Viktor Orban, who is the second-longest-serving government leader after Germany’s Angela Merkel, seeks a third consecutive term in parliamentary elections on Sunday.
Opinion polls show that the best Orban’s Fidesz party can achieve is winning a simple majority, which is also the likeliest outcome as Fidesz has a firm lead in opinion polls.
The only other option is a hung parliament which can only happen if the fractured opposition could push Fidesz into a minority.
“There are two different worlds to this election. To the outside world, it’s all about migration and conspiracy theories. But for many opponents of Orban in the country, social issues and corruption allegations are more important,” Andras Biro-Nagy, political analyst at Policy Solutions, a Hungarian think tank, told CNBC in a phone interview.
There are 199 members to be elected into parliament in a single round. 106 seats can be won in single-member constituencies in a first-past-the-post system. Party and ethnicity lists fill another 93 seats. Winning candidates have their surplus votes added to national party lists.