CiConsulta GeoPolitics 2020 Forecasts – Trump will lose his reelection bid

epa08084351 US President Donald J. Trump speaks during the signing ceremony of the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2020 inside Hangar Six at Joint Base Andrews in Suitland, Maryland, USA, 20 December 2019. The 738 billion US dollar military funding bill includes the creation of the Space Force. EPA-EFE/Al Drago / POOL

Reading Time: 2 minutes

This is a big call, and one that I will not be fully confident in until we are certain of who Trump will be facing from the Democratic Party, which means that this won’t happen until the summer. Depending on his opponent and accomplishments in 2020, Trump could very well win. He has the power of incumbency, an economy which is doing well, and an abundance of support within his own party. So how can he lose? In short, his position in those “rust-belt states”, which were so important to his 2016 victory does not seem as certain this time around. Not so certain that independents and floating voters will be as kind to him in 2020 either, given his behaviour over the past 3 years. In addition, if he does end up being acquitted by the Senate for his impeachment, it will really set off the Democratic voter base, motivating them to go out and vote in numbers. So, don’t hold me to this prediction just yet, but we will update you as we go along.

 

2020 will be a lot of things, interesting is certainly one of them. But you don’t have to worry about it, that is our job. If you want to know where things are going, you won’t find a better source than the team at CiConsulta.

In the meantime, let me take this opportunity to wish you and your families a happy, healthy and prosperous 2020.

CiConsulta’s GeoPolitics Advisor Matthew Bugeja’s forecast for 2020 can be read here .

%d bloggers like this: